Posts Tagged "central bank"

ECB impact on GBPUSD

Posted by on Jul 27, 2012 in Commentary, Featured, Market News

ECB impact on GBPUSD

ECB Impact on GBPUSD On 20 June, I wrote about central bank power and the impact the ECB can have on the currency value. This was in evidence again this week on Thursday, when Mario Draghi, the head of the ECB, stated they would do “whatever it takes” to save the Euro. I have chosen to illustrate the impact of his speech on GBPUSD, rather than the Euro. The 4 hour candle on EURUSD was 199 pips in range. The candle length for Cable was  232 pips. In either case, very significant movements. One of the “excuses” for weak GDP figures in the UK has been the turmoil in Europe and the Eurozone. For any disbelievers, the market response to Mario Draghi’s speech provides compelling evidence of the impact of the Euro on the value of sterling and the UK economy. For anyone watching the market this Friday afternoon, the value of the Euro has continued to rise on the back of weak GDP figures from the USA, with EURUSD now trading more than 300 pips above the lows established earlier in the week. What do you predict for the ECB...

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Central bank power

Posted by on Jun 20, 2012 in Commentary, Featured, News

Central bank power

When it comes to trading currencies in the forex markets, there is no-one to fear more than a central bank and comments made by them. Right now, the Federal Reserve (FED) are in committee, determining whether to intervene in the US economy. If they do, they will decide how and when to do it. In a market where trillions of dollars are traded daily, few institutions can affect the value of a currency as much as a central bank. An example earlier today is sterling (GBPUSD) as the minutes from the Bank of England meeting were released. The minutes had more impact on the currency than the actual decision. GBPUSD hourly chart showing 80 pip move between 09:00 and 10:00 The minutes were released at 09:30 and the currency moved more than 80 pips, down at first and then back again. By 10:00 it was pretty much where it was an hour earlier. This kind of volatility is one of the reasons I am cautious when there is a major news announcement. Little impacts the market as much as central bank news. Later today, the FED meeting concludes in the USA. Once details of that meeting are released to the market, there could be further volatility and currency re-alignment. We’ll know if there will be further stimulus in the US economy. Currencies are likely to trade sideways today until the announcement. The nature of the Greek government and the rolling Euro crisis is on the sidelines, for today at least....

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